Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	4	36.4%	5-4-3	54.2%	43.9%	51.6%	44.5%	1448	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	36.4%	5-6-1	45.8%	52.5%	49.8%	54.4%	1521	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.4%	36.7%	40.8%	1239	↓ low
4		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	42.4%	40.0%	42.4%	1197	↓ low
5		Wind Zander	Tier 1	1	9.1%	4-0-2	83.3%	69.8%	64.3%	64.2%	1552	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 4 decks · 36.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 36.4%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Zander 1 deck · 9.1%