← Mercurial Heart Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Mercurial Heart Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Zander | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 69.8% | 64.3% | 64.2% | 1552 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 4 | 36.4% | 12 | 54.2% | 43.9% | 51.6% | 44.5% | 1448 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 36.4% | 12 | 45.8% | 52.5% | 49.8% | 54.4% | 1521 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 9.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.4% | 40.0% | 42.4% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.4% | 36.7% | 40.8% | 1239 | ↓ low |