← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024
Fire AggroTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024
decks
2
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-5-1
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1204
· median 1204
· range 1198–1211
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1202
Q3 1392
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.0% | -1.5 |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.3% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
