← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024

SlimesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024

decks
8 (14.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26 13-10-3
overall winrate
55.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1365 · median 1389 · range 1138–1652 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055 Q1 1202 Q3 1392 1652
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 14.8% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 48.9% -0.7
Fire Crux Hybrid 13.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 50.5% +0.4
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.3
Water Ravishing Mill 9.3% 6 3-1-2 66.7% 60.0% 50.4% +0.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.7
Fire Aggro 3.7% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 52.0% +1.5
Fire Crux Mage 3.7% 0
Dawn of Ashes 1.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +0.9
Fire Arcane 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Fire Erupting 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Fire Neos 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Water Allies 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.2
Water Crux Lorraine 1.9% 0
Water Neos 1.9% 0
Water Tera Silvie 1.9% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.9% 0
Wind Arcane 1.9% 0
Wind Arisanna 1.9% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 1.9% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -0.7
Wind Vanitas 1.9% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ethereal Slime +1.00 2 0 0
Horn of Beastcalling +1.00 2 0 0
Engineered Slime +1.00 2 0 0
Slime King +1.00 2 0 0
Green Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Slime Totem -1.00 0 2 0
Slime's Blessing +1.00 2 0 0
Limitless Slime +1.00 2 0 0
Vanish from Sight -1.00 0 2 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -1.00 0 2 0
Tera Sight -1.00 0 2 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 2 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 2 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 2 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.50 1 0 0
Tithe Proclamation -0.50 0 1 1
Blissful Calling -0.50 0 1 1
Beastbond Boots -0.50 0 1 1
Baby Blue Slime -0.50 0 1 1
Gaia's Songbird +0.50 1 0 1
Reprogram +0.50 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.50 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +0.50 1 0 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.50 1 0 0
Verdant Slime +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/8190/archetypes/Slimes