← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024
Fire NeosTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/25/2024
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
62.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1202
Q3 1392
1652
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 13.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
