Store Championship Mercurial Heart

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	25.0%	0-4-0	0.0%	32.9%	40.0%	43.0%	1278	↓ low
2		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	25.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	66.3%	56.0%	56.8%	1338	—
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	64.0%	60.0%	56.1%	1408	↑ top
4		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	38.6%	45.0%	42.6%	1452	↑ top
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	52.2%	56.0%	52.6%	1307	—
6		Wind Zander	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.1%	48.0%	49.0%	1270	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Zander 1 deck · 12.5%