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Fire ArcaneTier 1
at Oddwillow's STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.5%
avg ELO +11.2 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1247
· median 1247
· range 1247–1247
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1194
Q3 1340
1362
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
