SlimesTier 1

at Oddwillow's STORE CHAMPIONSHIP

decks

2 (20.0% of field)

matches (non-mirror)

6 5-1-0

overall winrate

83.3%

ELO-adjusted winrate

60.5% avg ELO +5.6 per match

expected value

58.3% share-weighted (raw)

EV (ELO-adj)

54.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)

Pilot Skill ↑ top

mean ELO 1351 · median 1351 · range 1340–1362 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)

1090 Q1 1194 Q3 1340 1362

50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).

Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent	Their share	Matches	W-L-D	Raw WR	Shrunk WR	Adj WR	ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies	20.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	56.0%	+9.6
Fire Aggro	10.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	53.6%	+5.7
Fire Arcane	10.0%	2	1-1-0	50.0%	50.0%	45.0%	-4.8
Fire Erupting	10.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	60.6%	+16.9
Fire Luxem Assassin	10.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	56.9%	+11.0
Wind Shadowstrike	10.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Slimes	10.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—

Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 4 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 4 held back from the grid above)

Card	Edge	In winner	In loser
Beastbond Paws	+1.00	1	0
Viridian Protective Trinket	-1.00	0	1
Slime King	-1.00	0	1
Gaia's Songbird	+1.00	1	0

JSON: /api/events/8494/archetypes/Slimes