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Wind AlliesTier 2

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decks
2 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.5% avg ELO -5.6 per match
expected value
45.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1279 · median 1279 · range 1209–1350 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090 Q1 1194 Q3 1340 1362
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 20.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.6
Fire Aggro 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.7% +10.7
Fire Arcane 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.9% -21.0
Fire Erupting 10.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.5% -12.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.4% +10.2
Wind Slimes 10.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Armored Valkyrie +1.00 1 0 0
Heavy Swing -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Charged Mannequin +1.00 1 0 0
Attune with the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Eye of Argus +1.00 1 0 0
Woodland Squirrels -1.00 0 1 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Manufacture Cell +1.00 1 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald +1.00 1 0 0
Second Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call -1.00 0 1 0
Recruitment Officer -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Imperial Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Bulwark Sword -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/8494/archetypes/Wind Allies