MSG Store Championship September 1st

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	42.9%	1-6-1	18.8%	31.0%	37.8%	39.0%	1293	↓ low
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	28.6%	5-1-2	75.0%	61.3%	60.3%	57.5%	1458	↑ top
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	14.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.9%	53.3%	54.4%	1330	—
4		Slimes	Tier 1	1	14.3%	2-1-1	62.5%	59.6%	53.9%	55.1%	1345	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 42.9%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 28.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 14.3%
• Slimes 1 deck · 14.3%