← MSG Store Championship September 1st
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at MSG Store Championship September 1st
decks
1
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330
· median 1330
· range 1330–1330
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1234
Q1 1322
Q3 1356
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 42.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.2 |
| Wind Allies | 28.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Slimes | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
