EVO Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	25.0%	5-1-1	78.6%	66.5%	56.8%	56.1%	1410	↑ top
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	2	25.0%	0-0-1	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1233	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.5%	45.0%	46.3%	1237	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	55.2%	51.4%	51.4%	1560	↑ top
5		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	34.6%	40.0%	40.8%	1209	—
6		Slimes	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.8%	41.7%	41.5%	1372	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Allies 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Slimes 1 deck · 12.5%