← Idle Thought Tournament @ Animangaki 2024
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Idle Thought Tournament @ Animangaki 2024
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1392
· median 1392
· range 1278–1505
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1187
Q1 1304
Q3 1449
1535
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Overlord | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
