Water AetherwingTier 1
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Recomputed from 4 filtered
events.
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decks
10
(13.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30
14-11-5
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
54.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Consensus decklist
The cards across all 10 public Water Aetherwing decklists. The bar and % show how many of those decks run the card. The material deck stays in deck order; main deck and sideboard rank by that %. ×N (main / sideboard) is average copies. Cards played in under 10% of decks are hidden. Click a card for full art.
Material Deck · 19 cards seen across these decklists
Spirit of Water
Diana, Aether Dilettante
Diana, Judgment's Arrow
Quicksilver Grail
The Looking Glass
Backup Charger
Enfeebling Orb
Flash Grenade
Nullifying Lantern
Quickstep Treads
Ranger Boots
Seeker's Aetherwing
Smoke Bombs
Tariff Ring
Aquamirage Whisper
Mana's Cascade
Inert Sword
Palvor Sword
Ranger Strides
Main Deck · 36 cards seen across these decklists
Backstep
Charge the Soul
Fracturize
Krustallan Archer
Prudent Nock
Frostsworn Paladin
Tactical Retreat
Weaving Manastream
Aetheric Calibration
Refreshing Charge
Frostbind
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin
Frozen Dismissal
Undercurrent Vantage
Reposition
Cerulean Decree
Take Aim
Aetheric Reforging
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Drown in Aether
Vantage Point
Nimble Longbowman
Shademist Priestess
Unbroken Mustang
Cell Sharpshooter
Freezing Hail
Chained Charge
Dissuading Aether
Evasive Positioning
Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor
Song of Frost
Throne-Keeper Bullfrog
Alacritous Huntress
Engulf
Manabolt Convergence
Sleety Retreat
Sideboard · 33 cards seen across these decklists
Nullifying Mirror
Expel the Departed
Drown in Aether
Nullifying Lantern
Unbroken Mustang
Disenchant
Shademist Priestess
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Overlapping Visages
Viridian Protective Trinket
Diana, Haunt Reminiscence
Snow Fairy
Staggering Strike
Take Aim
Topsy Decree
Nimble Longbowman
Zinn, Volnia Abbess
Freezing Hail
Frostbind
Aetheric Reforging
Chained Charge
Diana, Judgment's Arrow
Dissuading Aether
Enfeebling Orb
Frozen Dismissal
Ranger Boots
Refreshing Charge
Reveal the Hidden
Seeker's Aetherwing
Smoke Bombs
Song of Frost
Tactical Retreat
Vantage Point
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, summed across all events. Mirrors excluded. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 9.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.3% | +5.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.2% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 71.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.0% | +4.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crescendo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +19.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 43.6% | -4.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Suited | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Wind Diana | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Fractal | 1.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirror Analysis
Across 1 event that had at least one mirror, 1 mirror match are aggregated below. Named-spirit cards (e.g. "Sabrina, Spirit of Water") are collapsed to their basic equivalent so they don't read as flex-slot differences. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frostbind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ranger Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Refreshing Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nimble Longbowman | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undercurrent Vantage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Engulf | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Judgment's Arrow | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Reforging | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manabolt Convergence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cerulean Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cell Sharpshooter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mana's Cascade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reposition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alacritous Huntress | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Take Aim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |