Horse and TaxesTier 2
Filters
Current season
Every figure below — tier, winrate, EV, the matchup table, the
consensus decklist — is computed from the current
season (115 events).
See all-time pooled data.
decks
31
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
188
89-90-9
overall winrate
49.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Consensus decklist
The cards across all 31 public Horse and Taxes decklists. The bar and % show how many of those decks run the card. The material deck stays in deck order; main deck and sideboard rank by that %. ×N (main / sideboard) is average copies. Cards played in under 10% of decks are hidden. Click a card for full art.
Material Deck · 15 cards seen across these decklists
Spirit of Fire
Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer
Vanitas, Convergent Ruin
Vanitas, Dominus Rex
Grand Crusader's Ring
The Looking Glass
Censer of Restful Peace
Nullifying Mirror
Safeguard Amulet
Smoke Bombs
Tariff Ring
Viridian Protective Trinket
Beastsoul Visage
Impact Hammer
Purifying Thurible
Main Deck · 26 cards seen across these decklists
Creative Shock
Dilu, Auspicious Charger
Dungeon Guide
Brisk Windtrotter
Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion
Liminal Guide
Searing Rebuke
Beseech the Winds
Fast Cure
Undying Dreams
Three of Hearts
Fluffy Shopkeep
Stifling Trap
Volda, Smolder's Spite
Fractal of Sparks
Varuckan Acolyte
Lavasoul Tiger
Gentle Respite
Dream Fairy
Return to the Archive
Lavaheated Brew
Fiery Interference
Flagrant Guide
Scatter Essence
Stifling Gyre
Spurred Gallop
Sideboard · 13 cards seen across these decklists
Dream Fairy
Scatter Essence
Varuckan Acolyte
Viridian Protective Trinket
Nullifying Lantern
Flagrant Guide
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Infernal Vessel
Extortion Scheme
Spurn to Ash
Stifling Trap
Fiery Interference
Volda, Smolder's Spite
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, summed across all events. Mirrors excluded. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 6.9% | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 12 | 4-8-0 | 33.3% | 37.5% | 35.9% | -6.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.0% | 13 | 6-7-0 | 46.2% | 47.1% | 53.8% | +1.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 13 | 8-5-0 | 61.5% | 58.8% | 58.4% | +3.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 10 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 55.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -3.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.6% | 11 | 2-8-1 | 22.7% | 30.0% | 35.3% | -6.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -7.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 54.7% | +2.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.5% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 32.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +1.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 79.8% | +17.2 |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 66.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.4% | +10.9 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.1% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 38.2% | -6.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 73.9% | +17.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 77.0% | +25.9 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 44.7% | -2.6 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 57.4% | +4.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.9% | +4.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +5.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.3 |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.2% | -11.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Luxem Mordred | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Chess | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -3.0 |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +19.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.0% | -27.2 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.7 |
| Wind Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Water Astra Diana | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Suited | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Alice | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.9% | +13.3 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Nico | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fractal | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane Rai | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.0% | -24.0 |
| Water Oblation | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Mordred | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 32.1% | -28.6 |
| Water Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Shadowstrike | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Fractal | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirror Analysis
Across 2 events that had at least one mirror, 2 mirror matches are aggregated below. Named-spirit cards (e.g. "Sabrina, Spirit of Water") are collapsed to their basic equivalent so they don't read as flex-slot differences. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Sparks | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cinder Geyser | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lavasoul Tiger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lavaheated Brew | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Flagrant Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inferno Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Return to the Archive | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |