Wind AlliesTier 2
at IanTCG Regionals
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.1% | -2.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Zephyr, Favorable Winds. Losers more often ran: Esteemed Knight, Shimmercloak Assassin, Trained Hawk.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Allied Warpriestess | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Weaponsmith | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rally the Peasants | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Banner Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |