IanTCG Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	29.4%	6-8-1	43.3%	47.0%	48.3%	49.0%	1212	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	11.8%	3-2-3	56.2%	53.9%	51.1%	50.8%	1419	↑ top
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	11.8%	3-4-2	44.4%	47.4%	48.6%	48.9%	1469	↑ top
4		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	11.8%	4-3-1	56.2%	54.1%	51.0%	50.9%	1359	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-1-0	80.0%	62.2%	58.2%	55.1%	1464	↑ top
6		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.2%	42.2%	44.5%	1264	—
7		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-1-1	70.0%	56.6%	56.4%	54.6%	1244	↓ low
8		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	5.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	38.0%	50.0%	50.1%	1132	↓ low
9		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	40.7%	44.3%	45.0%	1170	↓ low
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-1-1	70.0%	56.6%	55.7%	53.9%	1366	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 5 decks · 29.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 5.9%