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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Aria's Cardshop Store Championship
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1278–1278
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1263
Q3 1442
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
