← Yeti Gaming Thursday Weekly 10/17/2024
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Thursday Weekly 10/17/2024
decks
2
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-1-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
49.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330
· median 1330
· range 1246–1414
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1202
Q3 1424
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 8.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
