Grand Archive Challenger Cup at Campus Game Fest 2024

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Exia	Tier 2	7	20.6%	12-22-0	35.3%	47.5%	41.6%	48.6%	1299	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	6	17.6%	18-13-3	57.4%	52.0%	54.5%	51.3%	1417	↑ top
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	11.8%	8-8-4	50.0%	50.8%	50.3%	50.1%	1316	—
4		Slimes	Tier 1	3	8.8%	8-9-0	47.1%	51.0%	51.4%	51.0%	1268	—
5		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	5.9%	7-4-1	62.5%	51.2%	54.7%	50.7%	1246	↓ low
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	2	5.9%	7-5-0	58.3%	48.6%	54.4%	50.0%	1452	↑ top
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	5.9%	10-1-1	87.5%	51.2%	64.3%	50.4%	1495	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	50.5%	45.3%	50.2%	1164	↓ low
9		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	52.3%	54.4%	50.6%	1162	↓ low
10		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.8%	47.5%	49.7%	1169	↓ low
11		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.8%	50.0%	49.6%	1358	—
12		Water Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	46.9%	40.0%	48.0%	1191	↓ low
13		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.4%	48.5%	50.5%	1146	↓ low
14		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	47.9%	40.0%	49.5%	1122	↓ low
15		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	47.0%	46.0%	48.5%	1145	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Exia 7 decks · 20.6%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 17.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 11.8%
• Slimes 3 decks · 8.8%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 5.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 5.9%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 5.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Kongming 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.9%