← Grand Archive Challenger Cup at Campus Game Fest 2024
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive Challenger Cup at Campus Game Fest 2024
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 20.6% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 51.9% | +1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 7 | 5-0-2 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 53.2% | +1.6 |
| Slimes | 8.8% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 49.4% | -0.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.9 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ceremonial Stormblade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cell Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Marksman Captain | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbulent Bullet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |