← Grand Archive Challenger Cup at Campus Game Fest 2024
Water AlliesTier 2
at Grand Archive Challenger Cup at Campus Game Fest 2024
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1358
· median 1358
· range 1358–1358
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1178
Q3 1393
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 20.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Slimes | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Kongming | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
