← GGA Grand Archive Regional

Water Umbra RangerTier 2

at GGA Grand Archive Regional

decks
1 (3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3% avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1365 · median 1365 · range 1365–1365 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1058 Q1 1150 Q3 1286 1452
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 16.7% 0
Wind Allies 13.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.1% -4.7
Water Allies 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -14.0
Wind Astra Cleric 10.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.4% -2.5
Wind Razorgale 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 0
Fire Aggro 6.7% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.3% 0
Fire Exia 3.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.3% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.6
Water Neos 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.4
Water Overlord 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.4
Water Penguin Mill 3.3% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/12768/archetypes/Water Umbra Ranger