Wind AlliesTier 1
at GGA Grand Archive Regional
decks
4
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
8-6-3
overall winrate
55.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.7%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1250
· median 1233
· range 1208–1327
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1150
Q3 1286
1452
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 16.7% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.3% | +7.2 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +1.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.8% | -8.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.3% | -12.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
