← Brood en Spelen AMB Regionals
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Brood en Spelen AMB Regionals
decks
4
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
14-2-4
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.3%
avg ELO +7.8 per match
expected value
62.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1358
· median 1358
· range 1193–1520
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074
Q1 1181
Q3 1345
1689
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 19.6% | 6 | 5-0-1 | 91.7% | 75.0% | 73.2% | +12.4 |
| Slimes | 15.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -6.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.4% | +3.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.3% | +11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.6 |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
