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Wind AlliesTier 2
at Brood en Spelen AMB Regionals
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 19.6% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 34.0% | -10.3 |
| Slimes | 15.2% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.2% | -9.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.6% | -3.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.7% | +15.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 60 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 60 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skilled Plainsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ghostsight Mare | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Determined Spearman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Weaponsmith | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Horse | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crescent Glaive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jin, Zealous Maverick | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Steel Halberd | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jin, Fate Defiant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sundering Moon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Executioner's Spear | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slate Whetstone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseeching Flourish | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shu Frontliner | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shining Marchador | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |