← ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025
Fire Ravishing MillTier 2
at ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1301
· median 1301
· range 1301–1301
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1333
Q3 1516
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 17.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
