← ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025

SlimesTier 2

at ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025

decks
2 (11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.4% avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
44.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1085 · median 1085 · range 1005–1165 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1005 Q1 1333 Q3 1516 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 17.6% 0
Water Penguin Mill 17.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 56.7% +6.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.8% 0
Water Allies 11.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.8
Fire Crux Mage 5.9% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.1% -7.8
Fire Slimes 5.9% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.9% 0
Wind Allies 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.2% -4.4
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 1 0 0
Mystic Purifier -1.00 0 1 0
Kind Beastcaller +1.00 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Stalwart Shieldmate -1.00 0 1 0
Slime Eruption +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13124/archetypes/Slimes