ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	17.6%	7-7-1	50.0%	50.0%	52.5%	52.0%	1443	—
2		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	3	17.6%	2-6-2	30.0%	36.8%	41.3%	42.2%	1390	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	11.8%	4-4-0	50.0%	45.1%	53.1%	50.3%	1615	↑ top
4		Slimes	Tier 2	2	11.8%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.4%	44.3%	49.3%	1085	↓ low
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	11.8%	4-4-0	50.0%	58.5%	51.4%	54.4%	1334	—
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	5.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.0%	40.0%	43.2%	1406	—
7		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	5.9%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.1%	49.4%	51.5%	1301	↓ low
8		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	41.6%	53.8%	46.6%	1736	↑ top
9		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	5.9%	5-0-0	100.0%	70.3%	62.5%	59.4%	1408	—
10		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-1-0	80.0%	62.6%	57.8%	56.4%	1376	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 17.6%
• Water Penguin Mill 3 decks · 17.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 11.8%
• Slimes 2 decks · 11.8%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 5.9%