← 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 87.5% | 66.9% | 59.3% | 58.4% | 1264 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 68.8% | 57.2% | 59.2% | 56.3% | 1367 | — |
| 3 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 58.8% | 57.8% | 58.9% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 48.0% | 49.6% | 1486 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.2% | 44.0% | 44.8% | 1309 | — |
| 6 | Fire Exia | 2 | 18.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 41.1% | 43.3% | 44.7% | 1250 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.4% | 43.3% | 43.8% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Tonoris | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 35.9% | 42.5% | 42.6% | 1099 | ↓ low |