Fire Crux MageTier 1
at AMB Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-6-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.5%
avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1415
· median 1415
· range 1303–1526
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1212
Q3 1425
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 17.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.7% | +8.0 |
| Fire Kongming | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.6% | -23.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
