Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Mystery Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1516
· median 1516
· range 1425–1607
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1176
Q1 1284
Q3 1453
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 21.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Neos | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
