Wind AlliesTier 1
at Mystery Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 65.2% | +11.4 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 7.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Reclaim, Rose, Eternal Paragon, Bertha, Spry Howitzer. Losers more often ran: Perse, Relentless Raptor, Sword of Seeking, Rallied Advance.
Show all 40 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |