Mystery Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	21.4%	9-3-1	73.1%	75.9%	58.3%	61.0%	1261	↓ low
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	14.3%	1-7-1	16.7%	35.8%	38.7%	42.4%	1325	—
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	14.3%	4-5-1	45.0%	43.7%	47.9%	46.4%	1480	↑ top
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	14.3%	4-4-2	50.0%	45.2%	50.5%	48.0%	1516	↑ top
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.3%	51.2%	47.1%	1349	—
6		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.3%	46.7%	47.8%	1327	—
7		Water Neos	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	47.1%	55.6%	51.5%	1461	↑ top
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-2-2	25.0%	42.0%	44.4%	46.2%	1176	↓ low
9		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-1-2	66.7%	54.0%	52.8%	49.8%	1526	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 3 decks · 21.4%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.1%