← The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.8%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1385–1385
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1167
Q3 1357
1388
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Fire Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Wind Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
