← The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship

Wind AlliesTier 2

at The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship

decks
2 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 4-5-1
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.8% avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1314 · median 1314 · range 1241–1388 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1006 Q1 1167 Q3 1357 1388
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.1
Fire Silvie 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.4% -20.2
Fire Umbra Ranger 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.3
Water Allies 7.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.3% +1.3
Water Crux Merlin 7.1% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 7.1% 0
Water Tera Mage 7.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.0
Wind Exia 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.7% +10.8
Wind Neos 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.9% +7.8
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -2.4
Wind Umbra Diana 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.2
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 59 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 59 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Exia Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Heavy Swing +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Weaponsmith -1.00 0 1 0
Crescent Glaive -1.00 0 1 0
Lurking Assailant +1.00 1 0 0
Jin, Zealous Maverick -1.00 0 1 0
Promising Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Ingress of Sanguine Ire -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Vigilant Sentry +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Woodland Squirrels +1.00 1 0 0
Savage Swing -1.00 0 1 0
Combo Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Seize Fate -1.00 0 1 0
Idle Thoughts -1.00 0 1 0
Jin, Fate Defiant -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Glitter -1.00 0 1 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Bloodbond Bladesworn -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Executioner's Spear -1.00 0 1 0
Life Essence Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call -1.00 0 1 0
Stalwart Shieldmate -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Shuang Ji of Sacrifice -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Ornamental Greatsword +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Coating Oil +1.00 1 0 0
Bulwark Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Shu Frontliner -1.00 0 1 0
Chalice of Blood -1.00 0 1 0
Berserker Plate -1.00 0 1 0
Unrelenting Warden +1.00 1 0 0
Phalanx Captain -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Regret -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Oath of the Sakura +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Mend Flesh -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Jin, Undying Resolve -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13908/archetypes/Wind Allies