← The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship
Water Tera MageTier 1
at The End Games Grand Archive AMB Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.0%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1178
· median 1178
· range 1178–1178
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1167
Q3 1357
1388
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
