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EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Online Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.0% | 8 | 75.0% | 57.4% | 59.0% | 54.2% | 1404 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 9.1% | 20 | 62.5% | 54.3% | 57.2% | 52.9% | 1440 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 4 | 12.1% | 27 | 66.7% | 55.1% | 55.7% | 51.9% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Rogue | 1 | 3.0% | 7 | 64.3% | 55.7% | 55.1% | 53.4% | 1569 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Neos | 1 | 3.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 49.6% | 54.7% | 51.4% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 48.9% | 49.3% | 1327 | — |
| 7 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 4 | 12.1% | 24 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 48.6% | 50.0% | 1288 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 2 | 6.1% | 7 | 21.4% | 42.6% | 48.3% | 49.5% | 1165 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 8 | 24.2% | 33 | 43.9% | 47.7% | 47.4% | 48.9% | 1276 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 6.1% | 10 | 40.0% | 46.1% | 46.6% | 48.1% | 1431 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 3.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.7% | 42.5% | 47.0% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 44.4% | 41.7% | 44.4% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Diana | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.4% | 40.9% | 46.9% | 1527 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 41.9% | 40.0% | 45.1% | 1525 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 42.7% | 40.0% | 45.6% | 1376 | — |
| 16 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.7% | 40.0% | 45.6% | 1198 | ↓ low |