← Paradox AMBStore Championship
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Paradox AMBStore Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-3-3
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1345–1367
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1310
Q3 1368
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 21.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 10.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Slimes | 10.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.4% | +4.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Water Silvie | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
