← Paradox AMBStore Championship
Water SilvieTier 1
at Paradox AMBStore Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.7%
avg ELO +6.1 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1195
· median 1195
· range 1195–1195
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1310
Q3 1368
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 21.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.2% | +18.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Slimes | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
