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Wind RazorgaleTier 2

at Paradox AMBStore Championship

decks
4 (21.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 4-8-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.5% avg ELO -6.6 per match
expected value
47.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1376 · median 1377 · range 1309–1440 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064 Q1 1310 Q3 1368 1548
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 10.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.8% +9.3
Fire Exia 10.5% 0
Fire Slimes 10.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.9% +0.9
Slimes 10.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -1.5
Fire Arcane 5.3% 0
Water Allies 5.3% 0
Water Penguin Mill 5.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.9% -15.4
Water Silvie 5.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 30.8% -18.4
Water Umbra Ranger 5.3% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 5.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.3% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 41.2% -6.5
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Diablerie -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Cyclical Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/14336/archetypes/Wind Razorgale