← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.9%
avg ELO -15.0 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1133
· median 1133
· range 1133–1133
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1133
Q3 1375
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 24.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 13.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
