← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship

SlimesTier 1

at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship

decks
7 (24.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27 14-11-2
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4% avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
52.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1287 · median 1232 · range 1033–1472 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
941 Q1 1133 Q3 1375 1472
43% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Ravishing Mill 13.8% 6 3-3-0 50.0% 50.0% 45.3% -2.5
Wind Allies 13.8% 6 3-2-1 58.3% 55.0% 47.6% -1.3
Wind Razorgale 10.3% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.7% -2.4
Water Penguin Mill 6.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.2% +8.4
Fire Aggro 3.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +1.4
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.1% +13.6
Fire Exia 3.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Water Allies 3.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.2% -4.5
Water Tera Kongming 3.4% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.4% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 26.2% -17.7
Wind Kongming 3.4% 0
Wind Silvie 3.4% 0
Wind Slimes 3.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.9% +9.5
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Nullifying Lantern. Losers more often ran: Viridian Protective Trinket, Mystic Purifier, Kind Beastcaller.

Played more by winners
Nullifying Lantern
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Played more by losers
Viridian Protective Trinket
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Mystic Purifier
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Kind Beastcaller
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Scavenging Raccoon
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Beastbond Ears
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Tariff Ring
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -0.50 0 2 2
Slimeshield +0.50 2 0 2
Slime Eruption +0.50 2 0 2
Verdant Slime +0.50 2 0 0
Escape the Wreckage +0.50 2 0 2
Slime's Blessing +0.50 2 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.25 1 2 0
Mystic Purifier -0.25 1 2 0
Fan of Seven Debts +0.25 1 0 0
Kind Beastcaller -0.25 1 2 0
Lustrous Slime -0.25 0 1 3
Nullifying Lantern +0.25 2 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon -0.25 1 2 1
Nature's Appeal +0.25 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird -0.25 0 1 3
Stonescale Band -0.25 0 1 3
Beastbond Ears -0.25 1 2 0
Slime King +0.25 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -0.25 1 2 0
Nascent Blast -0.25 0 1 1
Reprogram +0.25 1 0 0
Orb of Sealing +0.00 1 1 0
Blissful Calling +0.00 1 1 2
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0
Meadowbloom Dryad +0.00 1 1 0
Twilight Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +0.00 1 1 1

JSON: /api/events/14480/archetypes/Slimes