Water DianaTier 1
at AMB Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.4%
avg ELO +6.6 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1268–1268
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1226
Q3 1428
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 15.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Fire Exia | 10.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
