← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weebly 11/21/2024 7 PM Central
Water AlliesTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weebly 11/21/2024 7 PM Central
decks
2
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1438
· median 1438
· range 1340–1535
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1211
Q3 1431
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Slimes | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
