← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weebly 11/21/2024 7 PM Central
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weebly 11/21/2024 7 PM Central
decks
3
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
1-8-0
overall winrate
11.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1271
· median 1278
· range 1201–1335
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1211
Q3 1431
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 13.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Tera Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
