SlimesTier 2
at IanTCG Regional
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.8%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1415
· median 1415
· range 1411–1418
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1078
Q1 1200
Q3 1409
1520
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.8% | -8.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.2% | +4.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.3% | +1.7 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
