← Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.0%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1340–1340
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1163
Q3 1319
1420
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 33.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.4% | -6.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
