Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	5	33.3%	8-2-5	70.0%	61.9%	56.6%	54.9%	1318	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	13.3%	3-3-2	50.0%	51.8%	43.9%	45.5%	1178	↓ low
3		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	6.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.2%	35.6%	36.6%	1023	↓ low
4		Slimes	Tier 2	1	6.7%	1-2-2	40.0%	45.9%	48.0%	48.8%	1163	↓ low
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-1-1	62.5%	57.7%	52.0%	52.6%	1206	—
6		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	6.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	31.0%	40.0%	40.9%	1054	↓ low
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	6.7%	2-1-2	60.0%	54.0%	48.7%	48.9%	1340	↑ top
8		Water Slimes	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-0-2	75.0%	59.2%	57.5%	56.0%	1264	—
9		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	6.7%	0-4-0	0.0%	31.8%	35.2%	39.8%	1097	↓ low
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	6.7%	1-2-1	37.5%	39.2%	39.8%	36.9%	1420	↑ top
11		Wind Cats	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-0-1	83.3%	67.6%	58.6%	62.4%	1244	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 5 decks · 33.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 13.3%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 6.7%
• Slimes 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 6.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 6.7%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 6.7%