← Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Grand Archive - Mortal Ambition UK Regional
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-3-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
43.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1178
· median 1178
· range 1163–1193
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1163
Q3 1319
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 33.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 38.5% | -8.6 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.6% | +15.0 |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
